Insiders' takes on first mock draft of the season 2008-05-30
Reactions to my first mock first round from some NBA insiders on the eve of the league's Pre-Draft Camp in Orlando this week:
Most everyone thinks the Chicago Bulls' choice between Michael Beasley or Derrick Rose as the No. 1 overall pick on June 26 will be one that goes right down to the wire for the franchise's decision makers.
Some wonder how much the tale of the tape in Orlando this week specifically with regard to how tall Beasley is "officially" measured will impact the Bulls' thinking.
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Beasley was listed at 6-foot-10 on both the official Kansas State roster and multiple media sources. But some scouts believe he could stand closer to 6-7 plus than 6-10. I've listed him at 6-9 but wouldn't be surprised if he measures at 6-8 (without shoes) this week.
The bottom line, though, is regardless of how tall he really is he's going to be a very productive scorer and rebounder in the NBA for a long time to come, barring the unforeseen.
One insider told me he wouldn't be surprised if Seattle (selecting at No. 4) tabs Arizona freshman guard Jerryd Bayless, instead of his USC counterpart, O.J. Mayo, whom I had the Sonics selecting in my first mock first round.
Most of the coaches in the Pac-10 that I've broached the subject with (off the record) believe Mayo is a more complete player than Bayless and has a better NBA future.
I think both will be accomplished scorers in the NBA but I'm not yet quite convinced yet that either will ever be a true point guard.
Another NBA source said it wouldn't surprise him if Seattle's choice at No. 4 is yet another freshman guard, Eric Gordon of Indiana. Gordon struggled mightily with his jump shot over the last six weeks or so of the season but is still rated the best off-guard prospect in this draft pool by most reputable evaluators.
He is another player NBA decision-makers are curious to see officially measured this week. He's been listed at 6-4 and some scouts believe that's a bit generous.
Speculation has bounced around of late that Texas A&M freshman center DeAndre Jordan has received a "guarantee" from a franchise making one of the first five selections.
I think that would be quite the gamble on the part of Minnesota, Seattle and Memphis (which are in the 3-5 slots; the assumption remains that Beasley and Rose will go to Chicago and Miami, or vice-versa). And so do the NBA-types I've talked to.
Memphis is considering using its No. 5 pick on one of two freshmen forwards, Kevin Love (UCLA) and Anthony Randolph (LSU). But the Grizzlies' decision-makers could like Mayo more than either.
I had 6-9 Italian Danilo Gallinari going to Sacramento at No. 12. But the feedback I've received with regard to that selection is that he will be off the board before the Kings select, and could be chosen as early as No. 6 by New York.
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Author: Fox Sports Author's Website: http://www.foxsports.com Added: May 30, 2008